BENGALS (-3.5) over Browns – Could be a shootout like last year, since neither team plays defense, but Cincy looked less stilted on offense than Cleveland does. Either way, the state of Ohio will no longer be winless in the NFL after Sunday. Think positive!
JAGUARS (-7) over Texans – I am not entirely comfortable with picking Jacksonville with this many points, but Houston’s passing offense has looked lousy.
PANTHERS (-7) over Falcons – Matt Ryan doesn’t do as well when he has to play real defenses, meaning you can expect a pick or two in the usual rookie mistakes.
Broncos (-9) over CHIEFS – Denver’s defense blows goats and games in Kansas City always tend to be close. However, we are talking about Tyler Thigpen under center. If Champ Bailey and Dre’ Bly don’t jump on a pattern and pick a couple of his passes, I’ll be surprised.
49ers (+5) over SAINTS – Not a Niners win pick so much as a “the Saints are losing offensive weapons by the day and their defense is leaky.”
Cardinals (+1.5) over JETS – I just have a sneaking suspicion that this is one where Kurt Warner goes slingin’ and pulls one over on Brett Favre.
Packers (+3) over BUCCANEERS – It seems like a really bad idea to take a first year starter like Aaron Rodgers and give him the odds over a tough, veteran defense, but I don’t think the Bucs can avoid running and win on the arm of Brian Griese two weeks in a row.
TITANS (-3.5) over Vikings – Best defense in the NFL and top-notch rushing game against a mediocre passer and a stud running back. Easy call.
Chargers (-7.5) over RAIDERS – Black Hole dwellers will swear they’re having fits of deja vu from Week One against the Broncos as the defense bleeds from Philip Rivers throwing all over the place and both LaDainian Tomlinson and Darren Sproles making the linebackers look foolish.
Bills (-8.5) over RAMS – Pardon me if I don’t pick St. Louis any more until they actually cover.
Redskins (+11.5) over COWBOYS – ‘Boys-‘Skins games are usually closer than the lines indicate. Though Dallas is superior on both sides of the ball, Washington will make it closer than the spread.
Eagles (-3) over BEARS – Judging by last week, Philly ought to be able to turn Kyle Orton into their own personal pinata, although the Neckbeard may have consumed enough alcohol to not feel the blows so much any more. If Donovan McNabb and Brian Westbrook have injury issues during the game, all bets are off.
Ravens (+5.5) over STEELERS – No Willie Parker means bad news for Ben Roethlisberger, as Baltimore’s D will be looking to tee off on him. Joe Flacco must also face a real game defense. I see this coming down to a field goal margin.