Guhhhhh. If you’re using me as any sort of guide to make picks, please stop. I’m just doing this for my own amusement at this point after going 5-11 last week. 99-93 on the season, home teams in bold.
Bears (+3.5) over Redskins – Joe Gibbs is going to screw it up late again. There’s no way around this.
Bills (-7.5) over Dolphins – You could make it two touchdowns and I’d still take Buffalo. Always bet against the winless.
Cowboys (-10.5) over Lions – Detroit has a pathetic secondary and a passing attack that’s falling apart because Mike Martz is allergic to rushing the football (not that his offensive line could bust any holes for Kevin Jones anyway.)
Bengals (-6.5) over Rams – Healthy quarterback over concussed, regularly injured one. Plus, the Bengals are likely to play better at home.
Packers (-10.5) over Raiders – I’m not convinced of the Raiders’ improvement due to Denver’s defense being absolute crap. Green Bay’s D-line will give the Raiders more trouble.
Buccaneers (-2.5) over Texans – Defensive game, but just enough margin to permit Tampa to cover.
Jaguars (-10.5) over Panthers – No real thought necessary. Have you watched the Panthers against any team not from San Francisco?
Giants (+2.5) over Eagles – Why do I think Eli Manning can pull another one out of his ass? Because the Giants D will do it for him. Donovan McNabb is planning to start, which means Andy Reid will lose his mind and not call a balanced game again. Expect Donny Mac to be on the ground a lot.
Chargers (-1.5) over Titans – Rushing against a D-line with Albert Haynesworth is no one’s idea of fun, but the Chargers may have figured out how to ignore Norv and produce.
Vikings (-8.5) over 49ers – Less a vote of confidence in the Vikes so much as having none in San Francisco.
Cardinals (+7.5) over Seahawks – This game is always closer than everyone thinks, and it’s the NFC West. Arizona won the first match-up this season, too.
Steelers (+13.5) over Patriots – Pick the Steelers to win outright at your own peril, but I feel safe enough with a cover pick for them.
Broncos (-6.5) over Chiefs – Denver may be struggling badly, but they can still hand the Chiefs their asses, as evidenced earlier this season.
Browns (-3.5) over Jets – The Jets have two wins against Miami and one against Pittsburgh. Not exactly a stellar record. Take Cleveland on the road.
Ravens (+9.5) over Colts – I just think it will be a touchdown win, not more than that. Willis McGahee was going well last week, and that ought to continue.
Saints (-4.5) over Falcons – No defense on either end, shootout approaching. Give me the team with an actual quarterback instead of Chris Redman, who really doesn’t count.