Sorry for the lack of product today — overnight double shift at work, and I just woke up in the middle of Around the Horn after crashing on the couch. Anyway, let’s get these picks in before the game no one can see. 6-10 last week, 94-82 on the season. Home teams in boldface.
Packers (+6.5) over Cowboys – I’m guessing this will be closer than the line allows for on pure speculation. Dallas has things Green Bay doesn’t — like a consistent running game, but I think this will be passing-game dependent, and will be a field goal margin.
49ers (+2.5) over Panthers – Carolina still hasn’t won at home and is dealing with a QB situation of David Carr and Mark Moore. Phooey.
Jaguars (+7.5) over Colts – Teams within the division always give the Colts a close game. I don’t expect this one to be any different with Indy still dealing with injuries to the offensive line.
Vikings (-3.5) over Lions – Detroit will be sliding back to its usual mediocrity by playing like crap on the road again.
Chiefs (-4.5) over Chargers – I still don’t believe the Bolts have put it together. The Ravens are a different level of crappy. AFC West matchups can go either way with the suck that is the division.
Jets (+1.5) over Dolphins – Hooray, America. The Dolphins covered last week due to a shitty field in Pittsburgh. This is a pick-em, though, and give me the Jets.
Redskins (-5.5) over Bills – Playing in Sean Taylor’;s memory + Bills switching between QBs again = Redskins win.
Texans (+3.5) over Titans – This team has changed drastically without Albert Haynesworth. Now he may be bacck, but watching the Bengals light it up on them last week makes me think that Schaub and Andre Johnson can do it too.
Falcons (+4.5) over Rams – The Rams are beat up yet again, so at least consider Atlanta worth covering, if not a winner outright.
Eagles (-3.5) over Seahawks – Seattle has to play an early game on the East Coast, which always fucks with them, and Andy Reid always calls a game properly when Donovan McNabb isn’t in there for whatever reason.
Browns (+1.5) over Cardinals – This is Vegas fucking with us. I’m not sure why the Cardinals are favored at home against a team on a roll like Cleveland.
Broncos (-3.5) over Raiders – After flashes of mediocrity, the Raiders have slid back into their commitment to excrement. Where’s JaMarcus, guys?
Saints (-3.5) over Buccaneers – I’d pick Tampa for a road dog if Jeff Garcia were playing, but I sense a Bruce Gradkowski start coming, which should make everyone run screaming.
Bears (+1.5) over Giants – Is the fact that Archie Manning and Dan Grossman (Rex’s dad) talk occasionally not the funniest thing ever? Anyway, Rex is playing well enough to keep the Bears from sucking too much and Eli is having issues.
Steelers (-7.5) over Bengals – I know last week was bad, but I don’t see Cincy playing them close, even with the Bengal defense showing up last week against Tennessee.
Patriots (-20.5) over Ravens – Yes, the Eagles covered last week, but the Ravens aren’t even close to the Eagles. Baltimore never has had anything resembling offense, and the vaunted defense is no more.